Typhoon CEMPAKA: Recurving Eastward over Waters South of Japan

Typhoon CEMPAKA: Recurving Eastward over Waters South of Japan
NewsNov 09, 2026 10:15 JST

2026 Typhoon Count Reaches 32, Highest in the 21st Century

With the formation of Typhoon CEMPAKA (Typhoon No. 32), the total number of typhoons generated in 2026 has reached 32. This marks the first time in 32 years—since 1994—that an annual count has reached 32. Surpassing the previous 21st-century record of 31 set in 2013, 2026 is now the most active typhoon season of the century to date.

Current Observations

According to information issued by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) at 09:45 JST on November 9, 2026, strong Typhoon CEMPAKA was located over waters south of Japan near 23.7°N, 135.2°E as of 09:00 JST on November 9, tracking northwest at 7 knots. The central pressure is 980 hPa, with maximum sustained winds near the center of 65 knots and peak gusts up to 95 knots.

Track and Intensity Outlook

CEMPAKA is forecast to recurve toward the east-northeast and pass south of Chichijima around early morning on November 11 while gradually weakening. The Ogasawara Islands face a high probability of severe weather, including torrential rain, gale-force winds, and rough seas.

Meteorological Factors Behind the Track Shift

Typhoon trajectories are primarily steered by large-scale synoptic pressure patterns. Typhoon CEMPAKA was initially tracking west-northwest along the southwestern periphery of the subtropical Pacific High. However, as it approaches waters south of Japan, shifting surrounding pressure systems are altering the steering flow, which is expected to turn the system eastward. This recurvature is likely influenced by mid-latitude westerlies and an approaching upper-level trough.

Looking Ahead

Typhoon track, intensity, and wind speed forecasts at the time of closest approach may change. Please continue to monitor the latest typhoon information, airport forecasts, and operational updates.

For more timely and detailed information on typhoons and tropical disturbances, please visit SkyAviators, the aviation decision-support tool for airline operators.  Learn more about "SkyAviators"


Disclaimer

This article is provided for informational purposes only. Tailored operational support and flight-specific guidance are offered exclusively through our commercial aviation services. Weathernews Inc. accepts no liability for operational decisions made, or for any losses or damages incurred, in connection with the use of this information.

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